McDonald's huge outperformer in Dow Jones

For this year the expected dividend per share is at 3,45 dollars. The dividend yield equals 2,98 percent. On average the stocks in the the restaurants & bars sector have a dividend return of around 0,17 percent.

2013 worst year for McDonald's

Aandeelmcdonalds

The matrix above shows McDonald's's historical returns expressed in the different entry years in the left axis.

The year 2013 was with a price loss of 13 percent the worst year (as from 2008). 2012 was with a return of 36 percent by far the best year since 2008. Who bought the share in 2008 (price at that time 58,10 dollars) now has a price gain of 100 percent.

The stock now trades at 115,95 dollars. This equals 24 times the 2014's earnings per share.

Koersaandeelmcdonalds

The graph above shows the developments of McDonald's's stock price (blue) and revenue (red) for the period 2008 till 2015 (the analyst's expectations. It seems that the restaurants & bars company's revenue hardly is connected with the stock price: the correlation equals 0,08.

Huge decrease McDonald's expected

According the analysts past year's revenue will be around 25,29 billion dollars. This is hugely less than the 2014's revenue of 274,41 billion dollars. The consensus of the analysts for 2015 is a net profit of 4,61 billion dollars.

Over the past bookyear the consensus of the result per share equals 4,87 dollars. Based on this estimate the price/earnings ratio is at 23,81.

Highlights restaurants & bars sector

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McDonald's's book value versus per stock price equals 0,12. The restaurants & bars company now trades with a CAPE of 20.59. The stock now trades at 115,95 dollars. This equals 24 times the 2014's earnings per share.

The stock McDonald's is covered by 11 analysts. The average target price for McDonald's is at 111,12 dollars. This is 4 percent lower than the current stock price of 115,95 dollars. The stocks Wyndham Worldwide, Accor and McDonald's have the highest consensus by analysts.

The three most recent recommendations for the restaurants & bars sector are from UBS (sell, 67,00 dollars), BMO Capital Markets (hold, 81,00 dollars) and Credit Suisse (sell, 74,00 dollars).