Canada’s construction industry is set to grow by 2.6% in 2025, driven by increased investment in infrastructure and renewable energy. Despite economic challenges in 2024, interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada are revitalizing demand. Key growth areas include transportation, electricity, and public housing.
Dublin, May 21, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "Canada Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2029 (Q1 2025)" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
The construction industry in Canada is projected to grow by 2.6% in real terms in 2025, bolstered by a resurgence in demand, as evidenced by an increase in building permits within the country.
Notably, growth is anticipated in areas such as enhanced investment in transportation and electricity infrastructure. Data from Statistics Canada reveals that the total value of building permits issued nationwide rose by 3% in 2024, rebounding from an annual decrease of 7% in 2023. However, 2024 was generally a subdued year for the sector, mirroring the broader economy by struggling to gain momentum amid a high-interest rate environment.
However, monetary easing is beginning to take effect in the real economy with investment in residential building construction, measured in seasonally adjusted constant prices, increasing by 2.4% year-over-year (YoY) in January 2025. Similarly, investment in non-residential building construction experienced a 2.7% YoY rise over the same period. As the Bank of Canada continues to reduce interest rates, closer to the 2% mark, a return of demand in the Canadian construction industry is expected.
The analyst expects the industry to register an annual average rate of 2.8% during 2026-29, supported by developments in the energy, transport, industrial, and residential sectors. Growth will also be supported by the government's plan to reduce Greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions by 45-50% by 2035, as compared to 2005 levels.
Additionally, the country then aims to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 and will look to invest in renewables over the forecast period. In December 2024, the government of British Columbia approved nine new wind energy projects, which aim to increase the province's electricity production by 8% annually. The projects will generate 5,000 gigawatt-hours of electricity annually, equivalent to the consumption of 500,000 homes.
These projects are estimated to generate $5 to $6 billion in private investment and are expected to be completed by 2031. Additionally, the industry's growth will also be supported by the Investing in Canada Plan, which was launched in 2016. According to the plan, the government intends to invest a total of CAD180 billion ($131.9 billion) in energy systems infrastructure, internet networks, trading ports, and public transportation by 2028. However, following the resignation of Justin Trudeau in January 2025 and the upcoming General Election, which must take must before October 20th, 2025, any Canadian Government program could face substantial revisions.
This will be dependent on whether Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre assume the top job, come the end of the year. Regardless of whether the Liberal party or the Conservatives will the election, the industry's growth over the forecast period is expected to be supported by investments in public housing projects, in line with the current government target to build 5.8 million houses by 2030.
Scope
Reasons to Buy
Key Topics Covered:
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
4.2 Commercial Construction
4.3 Industrial Construction
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
4.6 Institutional Construction
4.7 Residential Construction
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
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