Hot Topics
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The US economy is not slowing down, it’s getting close to full employment
We are a little bemused following the latest US Employment report. The headline figure of +38,000 jobs for May (expected: +160,000) disappointed the market, with Treasuries rallying and a June/July rate hike off the table in most economists’ views. A decline in...
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Beware of activist investors?
Like it or not activist investors are here to stay and are radically changing the business landscape
By IMD Professor Nuno Fernandes
Nuno Fernandes
Activist investors are relatively new – but very influential – players in international capital markets.
Activist...
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Alternatives to broken duration
s a consequence of the
historically low yields
offered by developed
market government bonds, the
traditional role of duration as a
natural counterbalance to equity
beta is not efficiently working for
multi-asset managers today.
The low yields in renowned
'safehaven'...
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Presidential distraction
There is now clarity who
will contest this year’s
US presidential race.
Unfortunately, that may be the
only thing clear in a campaign
which has set new standards for
unpredictability.
Donald Trump's candidacy
was met with derision a year ago.
Until his rivals quit,...
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Brexit can be avoided
Our base-case remains
Brexit can be avoided,
given the unlikelihood of
wanting to risk weaker ties with
our main trading partner and a
diluted relationship with the US
and other third-parties using the
UK to access the Single Market.
Inertia could also play a
part...
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Equity Income sector must evolve
The IA has launched a
consultation into the
criteria for UK Equity
Income sector membership. This
follows the removal of several
funds from the sector over the
last few months – including
Evenlode.
At Evenlode, we think an
income fund works best when
it delivers...
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Redington named New Growth Firm of Last 20 Years
Redington has been
named the New Growth
Firm of the Last 20 Years at
Financial News' prestigious
20th Anniversary Awards
for Excellence in European
Finance.
Since it was founded in
2006 by Dawid KonoteyAhulu
and Robert Gardner,
Redington has earned
widespread...
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The end of the bond barbell?
Bond market sectors are
becoming increasingly
correlated—and this is bad
news for fixed income investors
seeking to manage risk through
sector diversification.
Using monthly return
correlations over a 3yr horizon,
the correlation between
treasuries and US IG credit...
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Cosy arrangements with reality for Brexit supporters
In order to reassure voters, Brexit supporters advance two main arguments. The first consists in stating
that the uncertainty linked to the exit from the European Union will be short-lived and will only
marginally affect the UK economy. The second, central to...
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S&P Global Market Intelligence: Basel mortgage floors could slash capital ratios at Dutch banks
Dutch banks could see their capital ratios significantly eroded under proposed new global rules on estimating the riskiness of mortgage loans, S&P Global Market Intelligence calculations show.
ABN AMRO Group NV would lose more than 450 basis pointsfrom...
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A golden age for aviation
The global aviation industry
is widely regarded as
on the cusp of a golden
period of growth.
Aviation has seen sustained
growth through all economic
cycles and currently generates
around $600bn of GDP per year,
which is forecast to rise to $1trn
by 2026. In the...
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Pendulum swung too far
Traditionally, equity people
are supposed to be more
optimistic than bond
people, but I am prepared to buck
the stereotype. I am not about to
argue we stand on the brink of
savage correction, but it is fair to
say that I am a little circumspect.
The marketpendulum...
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Market wrong on Europe
Our conversations
with a broad range
of businesses across
Europe suggest a more buoyant
economy than the current
negative consensus view.
In particular, our meetings
with banks across the region
testified to a more positive
outlook than generally accepted.
Themacroeconomic...
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Barry Norris takes full control of Argonaut Capital
Argonaut Capital founder
Barry Norris has assumed
full ownership of the specialist
European equity manager.
Formed as a JV between
the Argonaut founders and
Britannic Asset Management
(later Resolution then Ignis) in
2005, a passive minority stake
in Argonaut was...
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Oil drop has not boosted growth
Eoin Murray
Traditionally we have
believed oil price declines
would provide a net
positive boost for the world
economy, the balance between a
negative effect on the growth of
exporters more than offset by a
positive effect for importers.
Instead, we have seen...
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